Wednesday, February 02, 2005

Insurgents and Go-bots, my thoughts

I think that there are now a number of new reasons why the resistance could probably be in its latter stages of life and intensity. First, the elections were a major defeat for them simply because a clear and large majority against the baathists/jihadists was officially established. Before these elections this majority wasn't so clear, despite the common belief among most Iraqis, though not so common to you-know-who, that the majority of themselves did believe in a democratic future for Iraq. Now, after the election, there's no question about it, all Iraqis now know it. Not to mention that the enormous emotional impact that this particular election had on Iraqis has given the supreme morale boost, to both Iraqi and American forces, needed to continue the fight with much more aggressiveness and end it. Iraqi guard units and police now know they are fighting for something more than a paycheck, a belief they probably always had deep down inside, but which no doubt suffered under the defeatism and propaganda they were constantly being exposed to on many fronts. I think they will surely be much less inclined now to desert their posts in the face of danger as they have so much in the past. Second, a successful insurgency must be based on popular support, and take the form of a popular uprising. Since this is now clearly not the case, it creates a major, and probably the greatest, blow to the resistance. Add to that the logistical support of the American army, which cannot be defeated militarily, which learns, adapts and gets better and more efficient and skilled every single day. I believe that this turn of events over the weekend ( i.e. the impact the election had on the people of Iraq and the world) will result to be a much greater turning point than we know.

Funny, it seems that almost overnight there has been a complete change of mood in the media about Iraq, all because of this one election. This leads me to believe that this is because those circles of people may have thought that the majority of Iraqis didn't feel this way about "forced American-style democracy", but rather instead believed that the resistance was more a popular resistance than was getting credit (this, of course, was surely because of Bush's lies about Iraqis desire for freedom and self-rule) . I had always thought that the reason many media outlets were speaking of gloom and doom so much was because they were betting merely on the resistance fighters being more effective than American and Iraqi forces. Well, the election didn't change the resistance's fighting effectiveness, so what else could it have been that changed the general mood so quickly into one of a hopeful outlook for Iraq? Interesting, me thinks. Iraqi Democracy is now clearly the popular movement, not the insurgency. And the idea that many in the MSM could have believed it to be the other way around, though not necessarily true, does satisfy the question and could explain it. But then again, so does plain ole' Bush-hating.

Also, in reference to Al-Queda's new brand of warfare that Sean has mentioned, here's a new developement:
Al-Zarqawi is pleased to announce his new lieutenants, following last week's captures-- COBRA Commander and Megatron of the Decepticons (also, we may get that completely-useless robot who can turn into a fuckin' camera).

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